Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.031196 0.036861 0.042752 0.049297 0.056328 0.063623 0.071731
2025-11-23 0.020943 0.028744 0.037430 0.047629 0.059114 0.071504 0.085751
2025-11-30 0.015743 0.024788 0.035468 0.048562 0.063808 0.080691 0.100525
2025-12-07 0.012295 0.022107 0.034331 0.049865 0.068433 0.089401 0.114413
2025-12-14 0.010069 0.020498 0.034121 0.051952 0.073704 0.098630 0.128699
2025-12-21 0.007856 0.018463 0.033054 0.052730 0.077216 0.105662 0.140332
2025-12-28 0.007285 0.018695 0.034872 0.057049 0.084938 0.117570 0.157552
2026-01-04 0.005086 0.015942 0.032361 0.055624 0.085477 0.120882 0.164685
2026-01-11 0.003961 0.014709 0.031808 0.056619 0.088913 0.127562 0.175690
2026-01-18 0.002895 0.013287 0.030817 0.056913 0.091380 0.133013 0.185192
2026-01-25 0.002104 0.012162 0.030139 0.057538 0.094199 0.138839 0.195098
2026-02-01 0.001424 0.010998 0.029266 0.057802 0.096486 0.143965 0.204129
2026-02-08 0.000624 0.008960 0.026814 0.055813 0.095914 0.145713 0.209318
2026-02-15 0.000163 0.007182 0.024539 0.053931 0.095400 0.147496 0.214545
2026-02-22 0.000043 0.006550 0.024235 0.054907 0.098661 0.153971 0.225444
2026-03-01 0.000002 0.006107 0.024226 0.056292 0.102454 0.161101 0.237134
2026-03-08 NaN 0.005956 0.024769 0.058512 0.107375 0.169653 0.250562
2026-03-15 NaN 0.005415 0.024439 0.059341 0.110371 0.175755 0.260982
2026-03-22 NaN 0.005980 0.026490 0.063928 0.118551 0.188455 0.279509
2026-03-29 NaN 0.004840 0.024723 0.062415 0.118277 0.190369 0.284771
2026-04-05 NaN 0.004464 0.024587 0.063472 0.121542 0.196786 0.295564
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003941 0.024018 0.063783 0.123742 0.201821 0.304639
2026-04-19 NaN 0.003542 0.023683 0.064447 0.126417 0.207454 0.314446